Western Michigan vs Central Michigan 11/3/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Michigan winning 49% of simulations, and Central Michigan 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Central Michigan wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Carder is averaging 315 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Ryan Radcliff is averaging 283 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.
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